The following article was published in the
International Third World Studies, Journal and Review,
published by the University of Nebraska, November 2004.
Majoritarianism, A
Cause Of Conflict The Rights And Wrongs Of Self-Determination
A Tale Of Woe This article starts with a few of the
tragic events which have happened in the last twenty years,
and all of them are related, directly, to the right of self-determination
and the widely accepted majoritarian interpretation of that
right.. The most recent story is possibly the worst.
In July 2002, parties to the twenty-year old
civil war in Sudan signed the Machakos Protocol. This states
that, in six years' time, South Sudan shall have the right
to self-determination, a referendum on secession. Within months,
there was civil war in Darfur.
In September 1999, the (Catholic) people of
East Timor exercised their right to be independent of the
(Moslem) people of West Timor.1 In so doing,
they followed the example from Yugoslavia where, in 1991,
the Catholic (Croatian) Slavs exercised their right to be
separate from the Orthodox (Serbian) Slavs. More of the Balkans
in a moment, but the reaction in East Timor was violent, and
because of this and conflicts elsewhere in the archipelago,
Indonesia has already been dubbed 'Asia's Yugoslavia'.
In March 1999, international mediators negotiated
the Rambouillet Agreement by which Kosovo, in three years'
time, would be allowed to exercise its right to self-determination.
Miloševic refused to sign. Within days, NATO forces were
bombing Serbia. Eventually, Chernomyrdin re-negotiated the
agreement by, inter alia, removing the referendum clause.
Whereupon Miloševic did sign. So the bombing had not
served its stated purpose.
On Good Friday, 1998, the British and Irish
governments launched the Belfast Agreement. Accordingly, at
some future date, Northern Ireland will be allowed to exercise
its right to self-determination by referendum, repeatedly,
every seven years or so, until it gets the answer they want.
Partly as a direct result, sectarianism in the Province is
as bad as ever!
In 1995, Quebec exercised its right to self-determination.
The people had determined themselves to be part of Canada
in 1980, but the losers of that referendum did not like the
result; they wanted independence. So they arranged for another
poll. They lost that one too, by 1%. Now they want a third.
As in Northern Ireland, the process is not so much a referendum
but a "never-end-'em".
In November 1991, the European Union set up
the Badinter Commission to study the future of Yugoslavia,
and it concluded that every people wishing to determine itself
should hold a referendum. As a result, the disease turned
into a plague, and there were two-option votes in Slovenia
(1990), Croatia (1991), Macedonia (1991) and Bosnia (1992),
which were all recognised. The subject is still a bone of
contention in Montenegro, where there's talk of a referendum
and then independence on 13th July, 2005, but any vote there
will probably also be recognised. Other votes, in Krajina
(1990 and '91), Republika Srpska (two in 1991, and one in
each of '92, '93 and '94) and Herzeg-Bosna (2000), were not
recognised. And a few other polls, in Kosovo (1991) and Sand?ak
(1991 and '92), got a mixed reception. The point, however,
to quote Sarajevo's now legendary newspaper, Oslobodjenje,
is that "all the wars in the former Yugoslavia started
with a referendum".2
At about the same time, in December 1991,
Nagorno-Karabakh held a referendum. Unlike the Balkans, the
Caucasus held their plebiscites after their wars, by which
time, of course, the minority was either exiled or dead. The
vote in Nagorno-Karabakh was 99.9% in favour. Abhazia also
voted retrospectively, with 97% support.
Fourteen Points
The right of self-determination, first put
forward by President Wilson during the First World War,3
suggests that every people shall be entitled to exercise this
right. At the time, it foresaw the demise of imperial (but
not fiscal) colonialism. Its application to-day, however,
begs two questions. The first is, 'what is a people?' And
the second: 'how shall a people exercise that right?' There
are many academics who study the former, but few if any ask
the question 'how?'4
Accordingly, in this article, we will look
at the methodology - the how? - and ask if it is right and
proper that a people should determine itself on the basis
of only a majority of itself. Then we will examine this western
democratic structure, majoritarianism, in more general terms.5
And finally, we will consider a rather more inclusive, more
peaceful modus vivendi, at least in so far as it concerns
decision-making, be it in parliament or be it in national
plebiscites.
Russian Dolls
If a great big country wishes to exercise
the right of self-determination, it may. And if a majority
so wishes, then that big country may continue to exist. Unless,
that is, a minority, which happens to be concentrated in one
particular part, decides to exercise its right to opt out.
And if a majority of the minority so wishes, then it can seek
independence and set up its own middle country. Unless, of
course, a minority of the minority, which happens to be concentrated
in one particular part, decides to exercise its right to opt
out of opting out. And if a majority of the minority of the
minority so wishes, then it can seek independence of the middle
country and set up its own tiny country. Unless, needless
to say, a minority of the minority of the minority... and
if a majority of the minority of the minority of the minority...
Like the famous Russian dolls, every majority
has its corresponding minority, and this formula will only
bring peace, harmony and tranquillity to society, when every
individual is an independent nation state consisting of only
one person! The formula is a nonsense, a madness. For some
reason, however, western politicians are convinced that a
decision can only be democratic if it is taken by a majority
vote.
In practice, the big country is the UK, the
USSR or Yugoslavia. The middle countries are (from the UK)
Ireland; (from the USSR) Azerbaijan, Georgia and Moldova;
and (from Yugoslavia) Bosnia, Croatia, Serbia and Montenegro.
And the tiny 'countries' are (from the UK) Northern Ireland;
(from the USSR) Nagorno Karabakh, Abhazia, South Ossetia and
Adjaria, and Trans-Dnestr; and, (as implied above, from Yugoslavia),
Krajina, Republika Srpska and Herzeg-Bosna, Kosova, and the
Sand?ak.
The madness continues. Indonesia is already
open to division in Aceh, Ambon and Irian Jaya, and that's
just the beginning. And now Sudan looks as if it might split
up into South Sudan, Darfur, and maybe East Sudan. Except
(so far) from the last named, every one of these places has
seen serious, if not horrific violence. God knows what will
happen if the disease spills over into the Congo.
The Academic Debate
When the subject turns to electoral systems,
politicians talk about lots of themes - majoritarian, proportional
and preferential - and lots of variations on those themes
- direct and indirect elections, electoral colleges, open
and closed PR-list and two-tier systems, the single transferable
vote and maybe even the quota Borda system.
On decision-making, however, there is not
even a debate. If a decision is to be taken democratically,
the voting procedure is, always was, and apparently must remain,
a two-option majority vote. Either the decision is taken in
consensus, by which is implied a verbal consensus; or it is
taken by a (simple, weighted, qualified or consociational)
majority vote. Furthermore, with the exception of a few special
cases in post-conflict plural societies where cabinets are
based on a system of power-sharing, governments themselves
are invariably majoritarian, either single-party or majority
coalition.6
In 'normal' societies, then, in places like
the US and the UK, decisions are taken by simple majority
vote. On some sensitive issues, certain groups use a weighted
majority vote. In more complex organisations like the EU,
a rather odd formula is concocted so that big and small countries
alike can vote together in a qualified majority vote. And
in plural societies like Belgium or post-conflict societies
like Northern Ireland and Bosnia, a form of consociational
majority voting is employed. The question, however, is usually
dichotomous. Politics is invariably adversarial. The system
is always majoritarian. And this also applies to the right
of self-determination, apparently. It is assumed to be a given,
almost beyond question.
Majoritarianism
The world, or at least the western world,
is obsessed with a double myth. Firstly, democracy is not
majority rule, but they think it is. Democracy should not
be a means by which one lot then dominates the rest. Rather,
it is, or should be, a process by which all can come to an
accommodation, their unanimous viewpoint, common consensus
or, at the very least, their best possible compromise.
Secondly, a majority opinion cannot be identified
by a majority vote, but they think it can. Among populations
measured in umpteen millions, one cannot identify the popular
will of a few millions by asking all of them a two-option
question: something like are you left-wing or right-wing?
They might be hard or soft left, hard right or middle right
or soft right. Or they might be neither.
If this double myth could be shattered, international
(i.e., western) diplomats would no longer impose this majoritarian
decision-making on other peoples, via the Badinter Commission
on Yugoslavia, or via the Machakos Protocol on Sudan etc..
So before we examine other methodologies, let us take a closer
look at this majoritarian nonsense.
If the Labour Party, to take a British example,
has a majority of the seats in parliament, it may form the
government.7 If, subsequently, the Labour
Party decides to initiate a certain piece of legislation,
it may do so. But the Labour Party, being democratic, takes
its decisions by majority vote. The parliament, being democratic,
does the same. In this instance, therefore, the outcome depends
upon two votes: it needs the majority of the Labour Party,
and the majority in parliament. So the actual outcome depends
upon only the majority of the majority. But a 51% majority
of a 51% majority is just a 26% minority. If you really wanted
majority rule, you would have to insist upon 71% of 71%. Which
would mean that any 30% minority could veto the proceedings.
Either way, therefore, what goes for majority rule is actually,
in many instances, a form of minority rule. Majority rule
does not even exist.
Now consider a different scenario. Most political
questions are multi-optional. There are, invariably, many
constitutional arrangements to choose from, an almost infinite
range of planning options, numerous variations of budget proposals,
and quite a few possible ways of tackling the problems of
Iraq, for example. In politics, most questions, if asked in
the right way, are indeed multi-optional. It is not a question
of "Capital punishment for murder, yes or no?" It
is, "How shall we deal with the convicted murderer?"
It is not, "nuclear power, yes or no?" It is, "How
shall we create sufficient energy?" It is not, "Northern
Ireland in the United Kingdom or a united Ireland?" It
is, "What is the constitutional future of Northern Ireland?"
It is not, "Resolution 1441, yes or no?" It is,
"How shall we deal with the question of Iraq?" And
so on.
So what happens when a parliament or a people
is given a stark choice between two possibilities - which
we will call options A and B - when in fact there are other
possibilities - option C at least, and maybe options D and
E as well.
South Sudan, for example, according to the
Machakos Protocol, could stay as part of Sudan (option A)
or it could secede (option B). There again, it could be autonomous
within a de-centralised Sudan (option C). Kashmir, to take
another instance, could be incorporated into Pakistan (A),
incorporated into India (B), or declared independent (C).
In like manner, Northern Ireland could be part of the United
Kingdom (A), or part of a united Ireland (B), or part of an
Anglo-Celtic federation (C), or under a form of joint British/Irish
authority (D).
The number of possible options cannot be decided
by imposition; rather, the democratic process itself should
allow all concerned to consider just what options are possible,
and any subsequent vote should be based on a (short) list
of, let us say, four to six options.
For present purposes, let us consider a hypothetical
situation where an electorate is confronted by a two-option
choice between options A and B, in what is nevertheless a
three-option debate of options A, B and C. In the Scottish
devolution debate, for example, there were three distinct
possibilities: A status quo, that is, rule from Westminster;
then came option B, devolution or autonomy; and finally, there
was C, independence. The vote, Tony Blair decided, would be
held between options A and B. So the Scottish National Party,
which wanted option C to be on the ballot paper, would just
have to go without.
Now it can be assumed that those who wanted
A probably had preferences A-B-C. While those who wanted B
had preferences B-A-C or B-C-A. If option C had been on the
ballot paper, then those who wanted C would probably have
had preferences C-B-A. Because C wasn't there, however, some
C supporters argued that they should vote for B because it
was their second best, while others said that they should
vote for A in the hope that B would lose and that then all
the B supporters would campaign for a second referendum, which
just might include C.
Well, as it happened, they voted on just the
two options, A or B. From the results, however, no-one knows
for sure how many of the A supporters were actually C supporters,
nor how many of the B supporters were actually C supporters.
So, on the basis of that referendum, there was only one definite
conclusion: it was not that the people of Scotland wanted
devolution, it was that Tony Blair wanted the people of Scotland
to want devolution.
Except in comparatively rare cases like citizens'
initiatives, then, the outcome of a majority vote identifies,
not the will of the voters, not even the will of the majority
of the voters, but simply the will of he who wrote the motion.
Little wonder, therefore, that the majority vote was the chosen
instrument of such notables as Napoleon, Mussolini, Hitler,
Antonescu, Duvalier, Khomeini, Miloševic and Tudjman,
to name but some of those who have used this methodology successfully,
and only one 'democratic dictator', Pinochet, actually lost
his referendum.8 Little wonder, too, that
the majority vote is used so often by prime ministers in parliaments
where, of course, they have the added advantage of a party
whip.
In some instances, then, a majority vote is
not very democratic. And in practice, some plebiscites on
sovereignty have not been very democratic. The classic was
in Bosnia where there were definitely more than two options
on the agenda. Secondly, there were more than two ethno-religious
groups. Thirdly, no one group had a majority, for there were,
nominally, 40% Moslem, 30% Orthodox and 20% Catholic, along
with a few others, the Jews and the Roma, to name but two.
A direct consequence of holding a two-option majority vote
in such a society was that any two of the bigger groups could
gang up against the third. The whole thing was a dangerous
and highly divisive. The Moslems ganged up with the Catholics.
The Orthodox boycotted. On the day of the vote, the barricades
went up in Sarajevo. And within a year, the Catholic/Moslem
gang had split up and they too were fighting a war.9
A More Inclusive Democracy
When our forebears first opted for democracy,
they knew that it was a system of governance which was "of
the people, by the people and for the people".10
And they meant all the people. Democracy was meant to be for
everybody, (even if the founding fathers tended to be a fairly
small minority of white, free males).
The trouble came when, on some subject of
dispute, they tried to identify either "the will of the
people", and/or that which should be its equivalent,
"the will of parliament". The only country which
looked at this problem in any depth was France. In England
and America, academics tended to favour "the greater
good of the greater number", which, (good or bad), is
no more or less than majority rule. In France, however, they
realised that you cannot identify the will of parliament by
a two-option ballot. You can confirm it, perhaps. But you
cannot identify a collective will by a majority vote.
Admittedly, if there is unanimity, it does
not matter which (voting or non-voting) procedures are used,
the outcome will always be that single, unanimous viewpoint.
On matters of some dispute, however, where those concerned
try to come to an accommodation, a majority opinion may be
the same as the common consensus, but Jean-Jacques Rousseau
was the first to note that this is not always the case.11
Finally, if the topic is really contentious, the best possible
compromise is almost certainly not the same as the majority
opinion; indeed, in most majority votes, there isn't even
a compromise option to vote for! Again, we come to the conclusion
that, in some instances, majority votes, and national plebiscites,
are not very democratic!
Accordingly, when members of l'Académie
des Sciences looked across the English Channel at what was,
at the time, almost the only existing parliament in the world,
they realised that the House of Commons was actually using
the most inaccurate measure of collective opinion ever invented.
(It still is!)
Heads were scratched, discussions were held...
and two voting procedures were invented. In 1784, M. Jean-Charles
de Borda proposed a points system, while Le Maquis de Condorcet
preferred a pairings mechanism, a sort of league process.
The former won the debate and, as a result, the Borda count
was adopted by l'Académie, albeit mainly as an electoral
system and rather less as a decision-making procedure. It
worked well.
It didn't last very long, however, for a new
member appeared on the scene and he wanted the simple majority
vote. None of this consensus nonsense! It should be pointed
out that this particular individual was not especially noted
for his democratic idealism; his name was Napoleon Bonaparte.12
Four years' later, he won his third 99% referendum majority,
this time in favour of one of his own 'modest' proposals...
that he should become Emperor. Another undemocratic majority
vote.
Since that time, nearly every western parliament
has chosen to use the same methodology. Admittedly, Norway
has made provision for a two-round procedure, while when debating
amendments, Finland and Sweden sometimes use a form of serial
voting, and so too does the US. Elsewhere, however, nearly
every parliament uses the two-option majority vote, although,
to be fair, at least twenty countries have sometimes allowed
their citizens to enjoy a degree of pluralism in multi-option
referendums.13 For the most part, however,
we westerners impose this primitive two-option methodology
both upon ourselves and on the hapless peoples of other countries,
either as the means by which peoples may determine themselves,
and/or as the methodology to be used in national parliaments.
We even do this in places where majority rule should never
have even been considered, places like Rwanda. Of which, more
in a moment.
Happily, there are some exceptions, and some
peoples have chosen to exercise their right of self-determination
by means of a multi-option vote, although admittedly, most
of these have been in a post-colonial setting.14
Wherever there is an internal argument about some ethno-religious
dispute, however, those involved do not want a compromise.
So they use a simple, two-option vote, even, as we have seen,
at the risk of war!
An Open Society
A majority vote can only take place if the
question is a closed one. It is "Option A, for-or-against?"
Or it is "Option A or option B?" In conflict resolution
work, in contrast, mediators invariably rely on open questions.
No matter whether the conflict is between man and woman, or
whether it is of an ethno-religious nature between peoples,
they first try to find out just which options exist. Then
they establish what are everybody's preferences. And finally,
they identify (usually in a verbal rather than in a votal
process) that option which is the best possible compromise,
i.e., the option which is everybody's highest average preference.
What is needed is a democratic structure which
is itself peaceful, which, inter alia, allows for compromise.
If the question is an open, multi-option ballot, and if everyone
is enabled to express their preferences, then it should be
possible to identify that option which is everybody's highest
average preference.
As noted earlier, a democratic decision is
either everyone's unanimous viewpoint, or their common consensus,
or their best possible compromise. No matter which, it is
always that option which is their highest average preference.
An opinion ratified by a majority vote is democratic, sometimes.
Everybody's consensus is always so.
Democratic Logic
Let us first examine the theory of open decision-making.
If there are five options "on the table", options
A, B, C, D and E, and if everyone expresses their preferences
on all five options, then it should be easy to see which one
has the highest average preference. If option D, say, gets
an average preference score of 1, then obviously everyone
gave D their 1st preference. If option C gets an average preference
score of 3, then either everyone gave C a 3rd preference,
or some gave it a 2nd while an equal number gave it their
4th preference. And lastly, if option A gets an average score
of 5, then obviously, everyone gave A their 5th preference.
Now in practice, the chances of every option
getting the same mean score of 3 are just about nil. Something
is bound to be above the mean score, (and something else below).
"The Borda count always gives a definite result."15
If the winning option gets an average preference
score of between 1 and 11/2, it can be said to enjoy overwhelming
support if not, indeed, unanimity. If the outcome gets a score
of about 2, it may be seen as the votal consensus. And if
the most popular option is of the order of 21/2, then it represents
the best possible compromise.
The Gacacas
The traditional form of decision-making in
Rwanda is the gacaca, a Kinyarwanda word meaning 'grass'.
Basically, if your cows were eating my vegetables, both you
and I would be called to a meeting of the village elders,
who would doubtless be sitting on the grass, under the shade
of "the big tree", to quote Julius Nyerere.16
And they would talk and talk, until they came to a verbal
consensus. To the African, "Majority rule was a foreign
notion."17
Rwanda has now adopted this gacaca as the
means by which to overcome the legacy of the genocide. The
ring leaders of that atrocity still go to the UN court in
Arusha. But the other suspected criminals, possibly as many
as 100,000 people, are being asked to confront their victims'
bereaved and, depending on the severity of the crime, the
guilty of lesser crimes are sentenced to undergo a community
service order which benefits those bereaved. In effect, the
gacacas are like mini-Peace and Reconciliation Commissions,
in every village in the land, and each works on the basis
of a verbal consensus.18
The Modified Borda Count
To reduce the occasions when people in conflict
resort to violence, the political process should also consist
of open, multi-option questions by which can be identified
that option which is the best possible compromise for all
concerned. The appropriate methodology is a sort of votal
gacaca, the modified Borda count. It asks everyone to state
their preferences, and it identifies that option which has
the highest average preference.
Mathematically, it is a points system. In
a 5-option ballot, a 1st preference gets 5 points, a 2nd preference
gets 4 points, and so on. And the option with the most points,
(which translates into the highest average preference), is
the winner.
This methodology allows everyone to cast their
preferences, for (one, some or) all the options listed. He
who votes for n options exercises
n, n-1 ... 2, 1 points
while she who casts her preferences for only
m options exercises only
m, m-1 ... 2, 1 points.
In a five-option ballot, this means that he
who votes for only one option gives his favourite option only
1 point. She who votes for two options gives her favourite
2 points and her next choice 1 point. While he who votes for
all five options gives his favourite 5 points, his second
choice 4 points, and so on. In other words, a voter's 1st
preference always gets 1 more point than her 2nd preference,
whether or not she has actually expressed that 2nd preference.
This methodology actually encourages the voters
to cast more than their 1st preference. And if everyone states
not only their 1st preference but also their compromise option,
it should be possible to identify that option which is the
collective best compromise. Which is what democracy is all
about.
Furthermore, when every politician knows that
the final decision-making process will be a vote in which
the outcome is the option with the highest average preference
- in other words, when they know that the final vote depends
upon the preferences of everybody - the nature of the debate
will itself change. In majority voting, if there is more of
me and mine and less of you and yours, then I win, and debates
which precede majority votes are often antagonistic. In consensus
voting, on the other hand, if I want my option to win, then
I will need not only the 1st preferences of my supporters,
but also the 2nd and 3rd preferences of my erstwhile majoritarian
opponents. So persuading those who had intended to give my
option their 5th preference, to now give it their 3rd or even
2nd preferences, will pay handsome rewards. In consensus voting,
the atmosphere changes, completely.
A Democratic Structure For A Plural,
Post-Conflict Society
Given that majority rule is a myth, there
can be no excuse for any majoritarian administration. Therefore,
not only should parliament represent the entire country, so
too government should represent the entire parliament. Accordinly,
parliament should elect its government, by a proportional
and preferential electoral system,19 just
as the people should elect the parliament by a proportional
and preferential system.20 And all decisions
taken by that parliament should be based on either a verbal
or a votal consensus.
This requires a further aspect to the separation
of powers. The government must no longer be the sole author
of the motion in question. The choice of options to be included
on any ballot for self-determination, must itself be subject
to an open democratic process, either in parliament or through
the appointment of a special commission. Similarly, in parliament,
all parties to the debate must be allowed to propose a motion.
Similarly again, in the UN Security Council, all fifteen members
should be enabled, either singly or in groups, to make a proposal
on Iraq! Indeed, in all democratic chambers, the procedure
should be open. There should therefore be an independent team
of non-voting consensors, whose job is to determine just how
many and which options are to be on the final ballot paper.
Initially, the consensors would allow all
concerned (and not just Bush and Blair) to make a proposal.
During the course of the debate, questions would be asked,
clarifications sought, and ideas suggested, so the number
of options "on the table" (and summarised on a computer
screen) could rise or fall. At all times, however, the consensors
would maintain a balanced list of options, in summary of that
debate. A commission into self-determination would be charged
with producing a short list of options. A parliament, on the
other hand, would need to make just one decision. If, then,
in the parliamentary scenario, there were but one option remaining
at the end of the debate, it could be assumed that this represented
the verbal consensus. If differences remained, however, and
if, therefore, there were still a number of options to choose
from, the consensors would again draw up a short list of options
to reflect the debate, and all would then proceed to a vote.
Finally, the consensors would analyse this vote and announce
the outcome.
Conclusion
To summarise, all plebiscites on sovereignty
should be subject to a preferential multi-option ballot, not
only among those who wish to secede, but also with those who
are to be the new neighbours. Secondly, any subsequent administration
should be a broad-based all-party coalition, so that, no matter
what their ethno-religious grouping, no matter whether they
had been members of the old majority and were now a new minority,
all persons would be able to participate, not only in parliament,
but also in government. Thirdly, all non -urgent decisions
taken in parliament would be subject, where appropriate, to
a multi-option preference vote.
In such a structure, in consensus politics,
all may long for the day when the words 'majority' and 'minority'
simply fade from the political lexicon.
Notes
1 This one-line interpretation
of events does not wish to belittle in any way the appalling
violence associated with the 1975 Indonesian invasion of East
Timor.
2 Op. cit., 7.2.1999. For
a full list of these referendums, see the author's From Belfast
to the Balkans.
3 In later life, President
Wilson remarked that, at the time, he had not realised there
were any Germans in the Sudetenland.
4 In her Balkan Tragedy, for
example, Susan Woodward argues at length about the numerous
geographical, historical, religious, linguistic and political
reasons for why one group of folk might like to consider themselves
to be different from their fellows. She does not, however,
question majoritarianism.
5 Majoritarianism was not
common to other non-European societies. For example, the "Confucian
ethos [in] many Asian countries stressed... the importance
of consensus... [in contrast] with the primacy in American
beliefs of... democracy." The Clash of Civilisations
by Samuel Huntington, 1997, p 225. This suggests, of course,
that we westerners took a majoritarian form of democracy to
be not just the best but the only true interpretation. See
also footnote 17.
6 Switzerland adopted an all-party
form of power-sharing government in 1959.
7 Because of the vagaries
of the first-past-the-post electoral system, Tony Blair won
a huge majority of seats in parliament in the general election,
but only a minority of the votes, 44%.
8 The antics of these 'democratic
dictators' are described more fully in the author's Defining
Democracy. Pinochet got 78% in his first referendum in 1978,
but only 43% in the second ballot, ten years later.
9 To be fair to Robert Badinter,
his Commission did suggest that the referendum in Bosnia would
be valid "only if respectable numbers from all three
communities in the republic approved" the result. Too
late. Balkan Tragedy by Susan Woodward, p 280.
10 Abraham Lincoln, Gettysberg
Address, 19.11.1863.
11 See The Oxford History
of the French Revolution by William Doyle, OUP, 1990, p 53.
12 The Theory of Committees
and Elections by Duncan Black, Cambridge, 1958, p 180.
13 These include Finland
(3-options), New Zealand (5 options) and Guam (6- or even
7-option). See the author's Defining Democracy.
14 Examples are Newfoundland's
3-option ballot (1949), Singapore's 3-options (1962), and
Guam's 6-option referendum (1982).
15 Ben Reilly writing in
International Political Science Review, Vol 23, No 4, Oct
2002, p 358.
16 "The elders sit under
the big tree and talk until they agree." Mwalimu Julius
Nyerere, quoted in The Ideologies of the Developing Nations
by Paul Sigmund, Praeger, 1966, p 197. The Kiswahili equivalent
of the gacaca is baraza, and these forums can be used in courts
of law and/or elected chambers.
17 Long Walk to Freedom by
Nelson Mandela, Little Brown, 1994, p 25.
18 The imposition of the
European concept of majoritarianism has caused major upsets
in many African countries, but most of all in Rwanda. A horrible
interpretation of majority rule was used by the Interahamwe
as a 'justification' for their genocide which they initiated
with the slogan "rubanda nyamwinshi", "the
majority people". The Rwanda Crisis by Gérard
Prunier, Hurst and Co, 1997.
19 A parliament could elect
a government by an ordinary system of PR, after which those
elected would then sort out the various ministries; but that
could be problematic. The better approach would be to use
a PR matrix vote in which every member of parliament would
vote, in their order of preference, not only for their chosen
nominees, but also for the ministerial post in which they
wished each nominee to serve.
20 The most consensual electoral
system yet devised is the quota Borda system (QBS). It is
both proportional and preferential. The quota element ensures
that QBS, like PR-STV, encourages parties to nominate only
that number of candidates which they think will get elected.
And just as the modified Borda count encourages the voter
to express a full list of preferences, so too QBS encourages
the voter to cross the gender, the party and even the sectarian
divide.
OurKingdom, the new economics foundation and the de Borda Institute recently gave interested parties from think tanks, research groups and campaigning organisations, and members of the general public, the opportunity to participate in an online trial of consensus decision making.
The de Borda Institute and nef (the new economics foundation) have received a grant from the Joseph Rowntree Charitable Trust to test the potential of consensus voting More...
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